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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV MSG+ 2, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 6:45 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.5, BOS 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 31, BOS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (30 saves, .968), 2. Patrice Bergeron (1 A), 3. Torey Krug (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Krug2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI04014113131
BOSBOS011112210333

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    T. Krug (11), D. Pastrnak (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    10:51

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Krug (12), D. Pastrnak (13)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:45
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(17)
    J. Bailey (27), M. Barzal (20)
    tip-inxG 0.01win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    16:52
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:18

Penalties

NYI 13 PIM·BOS 39 PIM

1st

  • 13:19BOSZdeno Chara · Slashingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

2nd

  • 4:03NYICasey Cizikas · Fightingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk5 min
  • 4:03BOSJake DeBrusk · Instigatordrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 4:03BOSJake DeBrusk · Fightingdrawn by Casey Cizikas5 min
  • 4:03BOSJake DeBrusk · Misconductdrawn by Casey Cizikas10 min
  • 10:10NYIserved by J. Ho-Sang · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:26BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by John Tavares5 min
  • 0:26NYIRyan Pulock · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 2:14NYICalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 11:47BOSDavid Backes · Head buttingdrawn by Andrew Ladd5 min
  • 11:47NYIAndrew Ladd · Roughingdrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 11:47BOSDavid Backes · Game misconductdrawn by Andrew Ladd10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 6:45 — BOS 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.23C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.18D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.18P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.12D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.12D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.11D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.10M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.09S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
2.51 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI50%50%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
31
Shots on goal
33
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
39
28
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
6
14
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000030.06210—26:21
13M. BarzalC011030.220007022:15
91J. TavaresC000030.410003820:38
12J. BaileyR011000.00010—19:19
6R. PulockD000-140.18402—19:09
7J. EberleR000-110.07000—18:58
44C. de HaanD000010.03012—18:00
50A. PelechD000020.14500—17:57
16A. LaddL000020.19012—17:48
27A. LeeL101030.18410—16:53
14T. HickeyD000-100.00110—16:08
66J. Ho-SangR000030.57000—15:04
4D. SeidenbergD000-120.03420—14:38
29B. NelsonC000020.301004614:10
72A. BeauvillierR000000.00100—09:30
53C. CizikasC000-120.161053109:28
25J. ChimeraL000-100.00400—09:19
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00120—08:33
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)32302.9382.53+0.5359:11

Season series

BOS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).