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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV PRIME, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 19:44 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 98%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.6, CGY 2.6; shots on goal were ANA 29, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Mike Smith stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (27 saves, .931), 2. Micheal Ferland (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith27 saves, .931
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Ferland1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Hamilton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA08011210229
CGYCGY2170717331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Ferland(17)
    J. Gaudreau (33)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:51
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano(8)
    M. Backlund (17), M. Tkachuk (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:35

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(11)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    2:56
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(4)
    H. Lindholm (8), J. Manson (18)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    6:50
  3. CGY
    D. Hamilton(5)
    M. Ferland (7), S. Monahan (18)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +47 pts
    2-3
    19:44

Penalties

ANA 24 PIM·CGY 32 PIM

1st

  • 16:44CGYGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Francois Beauchemin2 min
  • 16:44ANAFrancois Beauchemin · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:03CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

2nd

  • 0:22ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 4:36CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min
  • 10:56CGYSean Monahan · Interferencedrawn by Logan Shaw2 min
  • 19:00CGYGarnet Hathaway · Instigatordrawn by Derek Grant2 min
  • 19:00CGYGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:00CGYSam Bennett · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 19:00ANAJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Sam Bennett5 min
  • 19:00CGYGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Derek Grant5 min
  • 19:00ANADerek Grant · Interferencedrawn by Mike Smith2 min
  • 19:00ANADerek Grant · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min

3rd

  • 1:53CGYMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 1:53ANAFrancois Beauchemin · High sticking double minordrawn by Matthew Tkachuk4 min
  • 1:53ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 11:47ANAAntoine Vermette · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 19:44 — CGY 51% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.23D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.19M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.11C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.10M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.62 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/4
24
Penalty minutes
32
18
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-220.19110—25:43
15R. GetzlafC101050.550025924:53
47H. LindholmD011+230.14120—21:55
3K. BieksaD000-200.00140—19:48
10C. PerryR000+130.30300—19:21
67R. RakellR000020.28100—18:08
42J. MansonD011+100.00215—17:51
33J. SilfverbergR101-120.45100—17:49
26B. MontourD000010.02020—16:20
14A. HenriqueC000050.360003115:27
23F. BeaucheminD000-110.02226—14:00
50A. VermetteC000-100.011025513:17
48L. ShawR000+100.00210—13:05
7A. CoglianoC000-230.08000012:49
21C. WagnerR000010.0801010012:25
37N. RitchieL000010.09322—11:12
17R. KeslerC000-200.000104008:40
38D. GrantC000000.030177507:39
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)31283.9032.64-0.3659:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).