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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸2
FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Ferland's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 28% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 23, ANA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.7 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 G), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (2 A), 3. Mike Smith (39 saves, .951).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Smith39 saves, .951

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0511107123
ANAANA12008113241

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(5)
    R. Getzlaf (15), R. Rakell (15)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:48

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Ferland(15)
    M. Bartkowski (1), M. Smith (2)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:55

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(12)PPG
    R. Getzlaf (16), J. Silfverberg (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    2:17

Penalties

CGY 19 PIM·ANA 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:09ANAJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 4:37CGYMikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min
  • 7:39CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 11:37CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Kesler5 min
  • 11:37ANARyan Kesler · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 18:20CGYGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 18:20ANABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:20CGYGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 8:46CGYCurtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min
  • 14:34ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 2:10CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:27CGYSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min
  • 15:19ANARickard Rakell · Roughingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Micheal Ferland, 2nd 11:55 — CGY 28% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.13C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.11O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.10C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.10L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.7 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY33%67%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
23
Shots on goal
41
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/6
19
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
21
10
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-110.01130—25:38
7T. BrodieD000010.07000—22:23
24T. HamonicD000+100.04210—22:17
11M. BacklundC000010.060048220:53
27D. HamiltonD000-110.00000—20:03
13J. GaudreauL000+140.14000—18:43
19M. TkachukL000-130.2800710018:43
23S. MonahanC000020.111024318:02
77M. JankowskiL000010.012004516:24
93S. BennettC000010.1320010015:37
26M. StoneD000010.02210—14:39
68J. JagrR000-100.00000—13:01
36T. BrouwerR000010.100005012:00
44M. BartkowskiD011+110.03520—11:59
18M. StajanC000000.032004611:28
79M. FerlandL101+120.46200—11:17
21G. HathawayR000030.24104—10:59
20C. LazarC000000.0100210008:09
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)41392.9512.65+0.6557:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).