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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV FS-D+, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Andreas Athanasiou scoring at 0:06. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 0:06 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 34, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 2. Jimmy Howard (33 saves, .971), 3. Craig Anderson (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT0140111900134
DETDET11101101211235

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha (12), M. Frk (6)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:15

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    0:39

Overtime

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:06

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:29OTTDion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Mike Green2 min
  • 3:29DETMike Green · Roughingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 11:30OTTserved by F. Chlapik · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:23DETMike Green · Holdingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min

3rd

  • 10:41OTTDion Phaneuf · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Andreas Athanasiou0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, OT 0:06 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.46A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.32D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.30A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.27A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.22A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.18M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.18D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.15A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.14A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.13T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.13D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.12M. Green · On goal · xG 0.11F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.08J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.04T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Green · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 4.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
2.51 G
All situations
2 G4.4
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G3.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT23%77%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 4.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
34
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-230.21210—27:00
5C. CeciD000+140.05100—25:55
61M. StoneR000+120.10310—21:30
19D. BrassardC000+150.305005921:21
2D. PhaneufD000+100.00202—20:44
18R. DzingelC101+120.330005020:31
68M. HoffmanC000-130.21100019:41
95M. DucheneC000050.472106518:33
29J. OduyaD000-120.02010—17:59
72T. ChabotD000010.00000—17:20
9B. RyanR000010.57110—16:35
44J. PageauC000-120.070006015:59
10T. PyattL000010.03100—13:24
17N. ThompsonC000-120.012006911:57
33F. ClaessonD000000.05110—11:08
78F. ChlapikC000010.070004006:24
40G. DumontC000-100.00200006:08
14A. BurrowsR000-100.02000—05:40
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(O)35332.9434.41+2.4158:35

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).