Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Andreas Athanasiou scoring at 0:06. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 0:06 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 34, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 2. Jimmy Howard (33 saves, .971), 3. Craig Anderson (33 saves, .943).
Three stars
- ★A. Athanasiou2 G

- ★★J. Howard33 saves, .971

- ★★★C. Anderson33 saves, .943

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-111:15
3rd period
1-10:39
Overtime
1-20:06
Penalties
2nd
- 3:29
Dion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Mike Green2 min
- 3:29
Mike Green · Roughingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
- 11:30
served by F. Chlapik · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 13:23
Mike Green · Holdingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min
3rd
- 10:41
Dion Phaneuf · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Andreas Athanasiou0 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, OT 0:06 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.4
- 2.41 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 4.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 18
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 17
- Giveaways
- 10
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-1
2@
1SOFinal
1@
3Final
1@
2OTthis game
0@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
