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Red Wings at Senators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV FS-D, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 19:05 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were DET 25, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A), 2. Craig Anderson (24 saves, .960), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0110816125
OTTOTT11211414330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(8)
    M. Hoffman (8), E. Karlsson (11)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:05

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Burrows(2)PPG
    M. Stone (6), D. Phaneuf (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:25

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(6)PPG
    M. Green (11), D. Larkin (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    16:37
  2. OTT
    N. Thompson(3)EN
    E. Karlsson (12), T. Pyatt (4)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:50

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:39DETTrevor Daley · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 17:19DETTomas Tatar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:18DETNiklas Kronwall · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 19:18OTTRyan Dzingel · Holding the stickdrawn by Niklas Kronwall2 min

3rd

  • 12:23OTTErik Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 15:05OTTZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDET goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 1st 19:05 — OTT 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.89M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.23M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.21M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.16A. Burrows · Goal · xG 0.13R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.10A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.10C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.05K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rodewald · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsOTT
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25M. GreenD011010.00220—25:10
55N. KronwallD000-110.05212—21:30
40H. ZetterbergC000-140.091105019:39
39A. ManthaR101-220.39310—19:21
83T. DaleyD000-210.13002—18:48
14G. NyquistR000-100.00100—18:36
72A. AthanasiouC000-140.21000017:34
71D. LarkinC011-100.061103917:25
61X. OuelletD000020.01120—17:02
3N. JensenD000010.01000—16:47
21T. TatarL000030.07012—16:13
52J. EricssonD000-120.03000—15:55
8J. AbdelkaderL000-110.0120010013:41
43D. HelmC000000.0100010012:50
42M. FrkR000000.10100—12:28
41L. GlendeningC000020.135006911:59
51F. NielsenC000010.080006711:46
23S. WilsonC000000.00500010:12
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)29272.9312.70+0.7057:19

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).