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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
Final/OTTV NBC, SN·Citi Field

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 2:43. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 2:43 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 42, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robin Lehner (39 saves, .929), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Lehner39 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Hayes1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR21601001214342
BUFBUF0131111801233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    P. Carey(5)
    J. Fast (10), B. Nieves (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:09
  2. NYR
    M. Grabner(18)
    K. Hayes (8), J. Miller (19)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:20

2nd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(6)PPG
    K. Okposo (12), R. Ristolainen (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    0:56

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. Ristolainen(2)
    R. O'Reilly (16), K. Okposo (13)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:27

Overtime

  1. NYR
    J. Miller(8)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (18), M. Zuccarello (22)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:43

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:38BUFZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 13:59NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Nolan2 min
  • 17:27NYRKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 19:37NYRNick Holden · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

2nd

  • 3:39BUFZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Paul Carey2 min
  • 8:44NYRserved by J. Miller · Too many men on the icedrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 13:57NYRRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

OT

  • 2:15BUFJacob Josefson · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 2:43 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.18N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.15J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.13R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.10J. Josefson · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.08K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.04K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gorges · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01J. Josefson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.00K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR46%54%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
42
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
4
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000020.05412—25:15
18M. StaalD000+120.07210—22:34
76B. SkjeiD000+130.03320—20:34
55N. HoldenD000000.00212—19:13
36M. ZuccarelloR011-120.161106718:31
13K. HayesR011+150.470025918:11
22K. ShattenkirkD011030.07000—18:11
10J. MillerC112+120.052005017:30
40M. GrabnerL101+140.58010—17:04
61R. NashL000-120.20300—16:41
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.051005015:41
42B. SmithD000020.04102—15:41
26J. VeseyL000040.2410010015:17
51D. DesharnaisC000020.050001314:15
17J. FastR011+120.17210—12:29
89P. BuchnevichL000020.08020—11:31
24B. NievesC011+120.082003010:50
28P. CareyC101+110.1630010009:50
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)33312.9392.83+0.8362:43

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).