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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 15:10 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 12% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 37, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 35 of 37 (.946). Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (2 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ben Bishop (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01501527237
DALDAL01218311431

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    3:49

3rd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    3:26
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:31
  3. DAL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    15:10
  4. DAL
    A. Radulov(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    17:39
  5. DAL
    D. Hamhuis (11), J. Benn (19)
    backhandxG 0.86win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:21

Penalties

STL 20 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:34STLRobert Bortuzzo · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

2nd

  • 0:41DALDevin Shore · Cross checkingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 1:04DALGreg Pateryn · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 7:28STLPatrik Berglund · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 7:28DALRadek Faksa · Head buttingdrawn by Patrik Berglund2 min
  • 7:28DALRadek Faksa · Head buttingdrawn by Patrik Berglund2 min
  • 13:11STLPaul Stastny · Roughingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

3rd

  • 8:13STLDmitrij Jaskin · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 10:55DALTyler Seguin · High stickingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 17:22STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 17:22STLJoel Edmundson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 15:10 — DAL 12% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.86D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.34T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.10A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08R. Elie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.06R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.03S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.03J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.03A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL45%55%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
37
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
21
27
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011-120.16050—27:29
10B. SchennC000010.181003820:58
6J. EdmundsonD000010.181712—20:33
26P. StastnyC000-130.370126320:11
20A. SteenL011-140.12000—19:39
55C. ParaykoD000020.04140—19:23
91V. TarasenkoR101050.29110—18:39
29V. DunnD000+140.13110—17:42
71V. SobotkaC000000.001103317:02
41R. BortuzzoD000040.18502—15:45
32T. ThompsonC101-140.15000015:33
49I. BarbashevL000+100.11010—15:20
21P. BerglundC000000.002127314:33
4C. GunnarssonD000-110.02020—13:53
23D. JaskinR000010.00122—12:35
28K. BrodziakC000-120.181003311:54
9S. UpshallR000-120.09110—09:21
22C. ThorburnR000-110.021003305:18
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)28253.8932.22-0.7848:21
40C. Hutton2201.0000.22+0.2209:34

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).