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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Edmundson's goal at 11:14 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 1.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were DAL 40, STL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.7 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 38 of 40 (.950). Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Allen (38 saves, .950), 3. Brayden Schenn (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Allen38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL012016212240
STLSTL390814421

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    C. Gunnarsson(1)
    P. Stastny (2), V. Sobotka (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:50
  2. STL
    J. Edmundson(1)
    A. Pietrangelo (1), J. Schwartz (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:14
  3. STL
    J. Schwartz(1)
    D. Jaskin (1), B. Schenn (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    14:50

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(1)PPG
    A. Radulov (1), D. Shore (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    2:48
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(1)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (2), B. Schenn (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    8:30
  3. DAL
    M. Janmark(1)
    J. Spezza (1), B. Ritchie (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    13:11

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:57STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 15:03DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Carl Gunnarsson2 min
  • 19:29STLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

2nd

  • 5:04DALAntoine Roussel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Chris Thorburn2 min
  • 5:04STLChris Thorburn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 6:23STLJoel Edmundson · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min

3rd

  • 1:55STLTage Thompson · Interferencedrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min
  • 8:24DALBrett Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Edmundson, 1st 11:14 — STL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.23C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.20B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gunnarsson · Goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02S. Upshall · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 1.3 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
1.92 G
All situations
4 G1.3
0.91 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL62%38%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
40
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
39
12
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
1
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD101060.23200—27:01
23E. LindellD000010.02010—25:05
91T. SeguinC000-190.411006023:12
47A. RadulovR011-140.11010—22:49
14J. BennL000-160.395005521:37
13M. JanmarkC101010.150005016:50
5J. OleksiakD000-110.02420—16:49
17D. ShoreC011-130.171103316:07
33M. MethotD000000.00030—15:42
90J. SpezzaC011020.110003615:31
28S. JohnsD000-100.00210—15:23
21A. RousselL000000.00104—14:13
25B. RitchieR011020.13402—13:58
12R. FaksaC000010.011002513:56
2D. HamhuisD000-200.00000—13:38
18T. PitlickC000-120.153105010:12
27A. CracknellR000020.042005008:35
10M. HanzalC000-100.000207508:14
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(L)21174.8101.34-2.6657:02

Season series

DAL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).