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Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV FS-A, NBCSWA+·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 4:33. The Capitals scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 4:33 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 17, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Scott Wedgewood stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Christian Dvorak (1 G), 3. Christian Fischer (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Fischer1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH02191501217
ARIARI050621016327

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.23win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    5:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    1:28
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:32
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:59

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:33

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:59ARIDerek Stepan · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 19:52WSHTaylor Chorney · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 9:58ARIChristian Dvorak · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 13:09WSHAlex Chiasson · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalWSH goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 4:33 — ARI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.31C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.22C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.18C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.13D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.10C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.09J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.08J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Rinaldo · Missed · xG 0.08J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.02J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Rinaldo · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsARI
2.02 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH34%66%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsARI
17
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011020.19110—29:26
9D. OrlovD000020.12030—24:29
2M. NiskanenD000000.01120—23:52
8A. OvechkinL000+120.14000—21:21
92E. KuznetsovC112+130.380003621:02
19N. BackstromC000-100.141205319:58
77T. OshieR101010.31020—19:37
43T. WilsonR000000.00100—18:15
44B. OrpikD000010.01700—17:15
20L. EllerC000-100.031207515:50
29C. DjoosD011+130.04000—15:25
65A. BurakovskyL000010.18100—13:06
13J. VranaL011+110.27000—12:34
18C. StephensonC000000.0001010012:07
83J. BeagleC000000.062006712:07
10B. ConnollyR000000.09100—11:39
39A. ChiassonR000000.02102—11:22
4T. ChorneyD000010.04002—10:38
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(O)27243.8892.95-0.0564:33

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).