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Coyotes at Capitals
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Washington Capitals
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-A, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, John Carlson scoring at 4:14. The Capitals came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 4:14 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were ARI 26, WSH 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Braden Holtby stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (24 saves, .923), 3. Scott Wedgewood (37 saves, .925).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    S. Wedgewood37 saves, .925

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI260120602226
WSHWSH11311301113340

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:00
  2. ARI
    C. Fischer(4)
    C. Dvorak (7), O. Ekman-Larsson (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:42
  3. WSH
    D. Smith-Pelly(2)
    L. Eller (7)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:41

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(12)PPG
    J. Carlson (10), E. Kuznetsov (14)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    14:23

Overtime

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(1)
    T. Oshie (5), E. Kuznetsov (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:14

Penalties

ARI 17 PIM·WSH 11 PIM

2nd

  • 0:39ARIClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 4:06ARIChristian Dvorak · Holdingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
  • 9:29ARIMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 11:24WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min
  • 13:21ARIAlex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 14:57ARILuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 14:57WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min

3rd

  • 0:16ARIJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Madison Bowey2 min
  • 3:26WSHJay Beagle · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 8:58ARIJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 13:51WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Hookingdrawn by Mario Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalARI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, OT 4:14 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.19L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.17T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.13N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chorney · Missed · xG 0.03D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.02C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.02A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · Goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chorney · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.9 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsWSH
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI26%74%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
40
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011-110.00010—31:13
55J. DemersD000010.04240—28:58
33A. GoligoskiD000+120.05112—24:07
9C. KellerR101+120.1601210020:57
21D. StepanC000010.070003518:34
8T. RiederL000+120.01110—18:20
18C. DvorakC011-110.261023618:09
2L. SchennD000+110.03215—17:49
15B. RichardsonR000+110.110104417:30
16M. DomiC000010.23012017:01
48J. MartinookL000020.06304—15:09
44K. ConnautonD000000.00010—13:04
36C. FischerR101+110.17000—12:43
11B. PerliniL000-240.27000—11:26
25N. CousinsC000020.05110010:29
34Z. RinaldoC000010.01210009:52
29M. KempeR000020.051106709:33
43D. MermisD000010.02000—07:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(O)40373.9252.93-0.0763:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).