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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-CR, FS-F·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Noah Hanifin scoring at 4:58. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 4:58 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 39, CAR 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. James Reimer stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Cam Ward stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Hanifin (1 G), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 3. Cam Ward (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Hanifin1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Skinner1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    C. Ward37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA0402021401239
CARCAR11901111017347

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Lindholm(7)PPG
    S. Aho (14), T. Teravainen (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    14:02

3rd period

  1. FLA
    N. Bjugstad(6)
    A. Barkov (16), J. Huberdeau (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:52
  2. CAR
    J. Skinner(10)PPG
    D. Ryan (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    8:17
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(9)
    V. Trocheck (14), A. Ekblad (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    18:04

Overtime

  1. CAR
    N. Hanifin(5)
    E. Lindholm (7)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:58

Penalties

FLA 26 PIM·CAR 20 PIM

1st

  • 1:12FLAAleksander Barkov · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 10:46FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Kruger2 min
  • 13:05FLAAleksander Barkov · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 19:25CARBrock McGinn · Fightingdrawn by Jared McCann5 min
  • 19:25FLAJared McCann · Fightingdrawn by Brock McGinn5 min

2nd

  • 7:42FLAMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 7:42CARJeff Skinner · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 7:42FLAMicheal Haley · Roughingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 7:42CARJustin Faulk · Roughingdrawn by Micheal Haley2 min
  • 7:42CARJeff Skinner · Roughingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 9:01FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Roughingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min
  • 14:18CARNoah Hanifin · Fightingdrawn by Derek MacKenzie5 min
  • 14:18FLADerek MacKenzie · Fightingdrawn by Noah Hanifin5 min
  • 19:26CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 7:24FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:06CARBrock McGinn · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic2 min
  • 12:06FLAAlexander Petrovic · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Hanifin, OT 4:58 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.25J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.22J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.12J. Jooris · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Jooris · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.06V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jooris · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.2 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.92 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 130 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA31%69%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 4.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
39
Shots on goal
47
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
2/5
26
Penalty minutes
20
25
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
15
18
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD000+220.02010—27:16
5A. EkbladD011+130.43222—25:59
21V. TrocheckC011080.602106124:37
16A. BarkovC112+110.212044323:45
11J. HuberdeauL011+260.20214—20:16
13M. PysykD000010.07120—20:09
19M. MathesonD000000.00122—19:33
90J. McCannL000010.033252517:33
12I. McCoshenD000020.27220—15:31
27N. BjugstadC101+240.151006715:29
6A. PetrovicD000010.04002—14:42
71R. VrbataR000020.14100—14:13
88J. McGinnL000020.38200—13:54
7C. SceviourC000020.131005013:01
62D. MalginC000010.10000011:52
17D. MacKenzieC000030.062056010:54
73D. HuntL000000.00110—10:23
18M. HaleyL000000.06212—06:02
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(O)47443.9364.24+1.2464:53

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).