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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-F·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 9:35 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 31, CAR 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Scott Darling stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roland McKeown (2 A), 2. Brock McGinn (1 G), 3. Derek Ryan (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    R. McKeown2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. McGinn1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    D. Ryan1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01017014131
CARCAR020118210348

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(2)
    N. Hanifin (5), R. McKeown (1)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    12:17
  2. FLA
    V. Trocheck(7)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (11), R. Luongo (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    14:06

3rd period

  1. CAR
    D. Ryan(3)
    J. Williams (9), R. McKeown (2)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:35
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(2)EN
    J. Nordstrom (2), J. Slavin (2)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:46

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:35FLAConnor Brickley · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 3:55FLAConnor Brickley · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

2nd

  • 9:05FLANick Bjugstad · Holdingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 13:11CARJeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 14:25FLAMicheal Haley · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 17:01FLAMicheal Haley · Slashingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 19:27FLAMark Pysyk · Roughingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min
  • 19:27CARJoakim Nordstrom · Slashingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min

3rd

  • 7:07CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 3rd 9:35 — CAR 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.93B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.30J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.22J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.19J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.17J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.13M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.13B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.13J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.08J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.07V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jooris · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. McKeown · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01R. McKeown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00R. McKeown · On goal · xG 0.00T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.3 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.91 G
All situations
2 G4.3
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA44%56%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
31
Shots on goal
48
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
13
25
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-240.21260—27:56
3K. YandleD000-220.04010—27:52
16A. BarkovC000-140.260305224:19
21V. TrocheckC101-230.342006221:09
63E. DadonovL000-240.53010—20:29
11J. HuberdeauL011-120.160006718:56
12I. McCoshenD000-110.04120—18:29
13M. PysykD000020.04302—16:08
6A. PetrovicD000-100.00710—14:54
7C. SceviourC000020.22210012:59
27N. BjugstadC000000.02402012:39
52M. WeegarD000000.03030—12:27
17D. MacKenzieC000010.262106011:22
71R. VrbataR000-130.26020—11:12
23C. BrickleyL000-110.01224—10:58
50C. BalisyC000-110.352003310:03
88J. McGinnL000-110.181005009:51
18M. HaleyL000000.0032410007:45
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)47452.9573.36+1.3658:32

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).