Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Hagelin's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 33, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tristan Jarry (32 saves, .970), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★T. Jarry32 saves, .970

- ★★★P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-118:44
2nd period
0-25:36
0-319:00
3rd period
1-311:18
1-413:14
1-518:58
Penalties
1st
- 4:09
Sam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
- 7:45
Hudson Fasching · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
- 10:06
Zach Bogosian · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
- 10:06
Ryan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Zach Bogosian5 min
- 12:24
Johan Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 15:27
Ryan Reaves · Hookingdrawn by Josh Gorges2 min
2nd
- 7:09
served by C. Sheary · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 15:15
Brian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
- 17:37
Evgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Benoit Pouliot2 min
- 17:37
Benoit Pouliot · High stickingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 18:11
Kyle Criscuolo · Holdingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 19:17
Marco Scandella · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 2:42
Olli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Nolan2 min
- 7:09
Jordan Nolan · Slashingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Carl Hagelin, 2nd 5:36 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.9
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.5
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.01
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/6
- 19
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 33
- Hits
- 21
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 4
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-0
4@
5OTFinal
4@
0Final
1@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
