Skip to content

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN-US, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Hagelin's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 33, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tristan Jarry (32 saves, .970), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF05013115133
PITPIT11021029529

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:44

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:36
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby (17), K. Letang (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:00

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Eichel (13), E. Kane (12)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    11:18
  2. PIT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    13:14
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(12)EN
    wristxG 0.84
    1-5
    18:58

Penalties

BUF 19 PIM·PIT 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:09BUFSam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
  • 7:45BUFHudson Fasching · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 10:06BUFZach Bogosian · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 10:06PITRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Zach Bogosian5 min
  • 12:24BUFJohan Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 15:27PITRyan Reaves · Hookingdrawn by Josh Gorges2 min

2nd

  • 7:09PITserved by C. Sheary · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:15PITBrian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 17:37PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Benoit Pouliot2 min
  • 17:37BUFBenoit Pouliot · High stickingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 18:11BUFKyle Criscuolo · Holdingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 19:17BUFMarco Scandella · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:42PITOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Nolan2 min
  • 7:09BUFJordan Nolan · Slashingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Hagelin, 2nd 5:36 — PIT 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.84E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.23P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.19P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.16P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.15K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.15K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.06O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT5 G · 3.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
2.31 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF36%64%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/6
19
Penalty minutes
15
33
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-250.23110—28:11
6M. ScandellaD000-120.20212—26:52
9E. KaneL011040.1522010021:35
15J. EichelC011040.283001821:34
90R. O'ReillyC000-220.131005520:30
19J. McCabeD000-130.06210—19:37
47Z. BogosianD000020.06115—17:34
29J. PominvilleR101020.23000—16:01
4J. GorgesD000010.02330—14:16
67B. PouliotL000-110.01132—14:13
23S. ReinhartC000-110.04112013:54
21K. OkposoR000-220.2721010012:49
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.16600012:38
22J. LarssonL000-100.002027012:28
24H. FaschingR000000.20302—10:57
51K. CriscuoloC000-120.221021709:22
17J. NolanC000-200.00202007:51
82N. BeaulieuD000-110.00000—07:46
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson(L)28244.8573.05-0.9559:03

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).