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Flames at Avalanche
NHL

Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, CBC·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Ferland's goal at 19:09 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 28, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. David Rittich stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Jonathan Bernier stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Rittich (24 saves, .923), 3. Mark Barberio (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Barberio1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1827013328
COLCOL0711217226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Hamilton(3)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (12), M. Backlund (10)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    17:23

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(7)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    14:32
  2. CGY
    M. Ferland(10)
    S. Monahan (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:09
  3. CGY
    M. Backlund(6)
    T. Hamonic (2), M. Frolik (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    19:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Zadorov(2)
    M. Barberio (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    17:06

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:54COLSven Andrighetto · Slashingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 16:07COLGabriel Landeskog · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 2:03CGYJaromir Jagr · Hookingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min
  • 6:17CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:52COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 13:31CGYMatt Bartkowski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:33COLNathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCGY goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Micheal Ferland, 2nd 19:09 — CGY 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.27S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.14C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mironov · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCOL
2.73 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY63%37%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
26
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
11
12
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000+130.18030—28:46
7T. BrodieD000000.00000—23:26
27D. HamiltonD101070.26102—22:42
13J. GaudreauL000010.19010—20:37
11M. BacklundC112+110.220006119:55
24T. HamonicD011+120.02230—19:52
23S. MonahanC011000.120005319:31
67M. FrolikR011+120.130005019:18
79M. FerlandL101020.48100—17:58
19M. TkachukL011+120.25010—16:35
26M. StoneD000000.00260—15:44
68J. JagrR000020.28012—12:26
93S. BennettC000020.4000010011:58
77M. JankowskiL000010.010107111:00
18M. StajanC000010.031003010:14
44M. BartkowskiD000010.01302—09:48
36T. BrouwerR000000.00110—09:06
25F. HamiltonC000010.12100007:00
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)26242.9231.94-0.0659:03

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).