Panthers at Sharks 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Florida Panthers

▸2

San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-F, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the San Jose Sharks 2-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sceviour's goal at 1:00 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 28, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roberto Luongo (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Colton Sceviour (1 G), 3. Nick Bjugstad (1 G).

Three stars

★
R. Luongo35 saves, 1.000
★★
C. Sceviour1 G
★★★
N. Bjugstad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
FLA	09	114	15	228
SJS	010	08	017	035

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

C. Sceviour(4)
C. Brickley (6), V. Trocheck (11)
wrap-aroundxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
1-0
1:00

3rd period

N. Bjugstad(4)
J. McGinn (5), R. Vrbata (8)
wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
2-0
12:23

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

9:37Melker Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
18:27Mark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

3:18Mike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SJS

Biggest swing: Colton Sceviour, 2nd 1:00 — FLA 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.0 xG · 50 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att SJS

0 G · 2.0 xG · 50 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.72 G
All situations: 0 G2.0; 1.42 G
Even strength: 0 G1.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

39%61%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 35; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 22
Hits: 19; 18
Blocked shots: 12; 14
Giveaways: 20; 20
Takeaways: 23

Box score

every player line

Florida Panthers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3K. YandleD	0	0	0	0	1	0.54	0	2	0	—	23:13
5A. EkbladD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	—	23:07
16A. BarkovC	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	1	0	48	21:54
63E. DadonovL	0	0	0	0	2	0.87	0	1	0	—	21:31
11J. HuberdeauL	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	20:49
19M. MathesonD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	2	—	20:38
13M. PysykD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	2	1	2	—	20:18
21V. TrocheckC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	0	0	48	19:26
7C. SceviourC	1	0	1	+1	5	0.06	0	2	0	0	17:31
12I. McCoshenD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	1	0	—	16:02
23C. BrickleyL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.05	2	1	0	—	15:55
52M. WeegarD	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	—	15:41
27N. BjugstadC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.38	2	1	0	58	12:53
88J. McGinnL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	—	12:29
71R. VrbataR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	—	12:28
73D. HuntL	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	3	0	0	—	07:33
50C. BalisyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	1	0	25	07:31
18M. HaleyL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	1	0	—	07:01

Florida Panthers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
1R. Luongo(W)	35	35	0	1.000	1.96	+1.96	60:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Nov 162@0this game
Dec 12@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score