Sharks at Kings 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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San Jose Sharks

▸2

Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSCA·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Kings scored first; the Sharks answered. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Ward's goal at 12:50 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 33, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Martin Jones (26 saves, .963), 2. Jonathan Quick (31 saves, .939), 3. Brent Burns.

Three stars

★
M. Jones26 saves, .963
★★
J. Quick31 saves, .939
★★★
B. Burns

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	04	015	214	233
LAK	18	011	08	127

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

D. Brown(8)PPG
A. Kopitar (13), D. Doughty (8)
tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
0-1
8:30

3rd period

M. Karlsson(3)
T. Hertl (7), L. Couture (5)
wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
1-1
5:42
J. Ward(3)
B. Goodrow (2), J. Ryan (2)
tip-inxG 0.04win prob +36 pts
2-1
12:50

Penalties

8 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

7:49Tim Heed · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
12:16Drew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Joel Ward2 min
17:03Joonas Donskoi · Slashingdrawn by Andy Andreoff2 min

2nd

2:19Drew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
2:46Joe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
5:42Joel Ward · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min

3rd

6:07Nicholas Shore · Slashingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: LAK

Biggest swing: Joel Ward, 3rd 12:50 — SJS 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att LAK

1 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.52 G
All situations: 1 G3.0; 2.32 G
Even strength: 0 G1.7; 0.10 G
Power play: 1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

41%59%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 27; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/3
Power play: 1/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 6; 14
Hits: 22; 22
Blocked shots: 14; 6
Giveaways: 18; 5
Takeaways: 3

Box score

every player line

San Jose Sharks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
88B. BurnsD	0	0	0	+1	5	0.10	1	3	0	—	25:11
61J. BraunD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	3	0	—	22:04
44M. VlasicD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	—	22:03
47J. RyanD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	2	0	—	19:50
8J. PavelskiC	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	2	2	2	53	19:47
48T. HertlC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.32	0	2	0	54	19:23
39L. CoutureC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	1	3	0	0	19:22
19J. ThorntonC	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	33	16:57
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	0	—	16:01
72T. HeedD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	3	2	—	15:35
50C. TierneyC	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	2	0	50	15:24
4B. DillonD	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	1	0	0	—	14:49
68M. KarlssonC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	0	1	0	0	13:47
27J. DonskoiR	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	2	—	12:14
89M. BoedkerL	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	3	0	0	100	11:41
42J. WardR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.44	1	0	2	67	10:23
23B. GoodrowC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	2	0	0	50	09:30
28T. MeierR	0	0	0	+1	3	0.19	0	0	0	—	09:27

San Jose Sharks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31M. Jones(W)	27	26	1	.963	3.00	+2.00	59:51

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score