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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 12:07 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 38, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Drew Doughty, 3. Dustin Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21721407438
SJSSJS1601207125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:08
  2. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:14
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:07
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    14:05

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·SJS 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:31LAKKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Melker Karlsson2 min
  • 11:29SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 16:11SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

2nd

  • 5:57SJSBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 8:34LAKNicholas Shore · Hookingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

3rd

  • 0:50LAKJake Muzzin · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 5:17SJSJoonas Donskoi · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 7:22LAKKyle Clifford · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 8:27SJSJoe Pavelski · Interferencedrawn by Christian Folin2 min
  • 13:31SJSJoel Ward · Interferencedrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalLAK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 2nd 12:07 — LAK 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.19J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.09L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.07L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.07J. Ward · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hansen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hansen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01P. Martin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSJS
3.64 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK77%23%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
25
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
21
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MuzzinD011000.02212—28:15
8D. DoughtyD000+440.21220—25:38
24D. ForbortD011+310.02110—20:10
11A. KopitarC213+350.550105520:01
5C. FolinD000-110.02420—19:50
77J. CarterC000030.361105918:53
19A. IafalloL000+340.31210—18:10
23D. BrownR112+330.25300—18:03
70T. PearsonL000040.38100—17:11
7O. FantenbergD000000.03110—15:51
73T. ToffoliC000050.59000015:42
22T. LewisC000+130.2410010015:37
21N. ShoreC101+120.261124514:59
14M. CammalleriL000-100.00100—12:23
13K. CliffordL000+120.26112—12:11
9A. KempeR000-100.001003307:33
56K. MacDermidL000000.00022—05:54
26N. DowdC000-110.07300005:39
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)25241.9601.98+0.9860:00

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).