Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Flames scored first; the Stars answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 12:50 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 55% to 84%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.9, CGY 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 24, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (1 G), 2. Kari Lehtonen (29 saves, .967), 3. Mike Smith (22 saves, .917).
Three stars
- ★A. Radulov1 G

- ★★K. Lehtonen29 saves, .967

- ★★★M. Smith22 saves, .917

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-110:18
1-116:54
3rd period
2-112:50
Penalties
1st
- 17:56
Jamie Oleksiak · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
2nd
- 6:32
Mark Giordano · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
- 15:19
Travis Hamonic · Slashingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
3rd
- 6:34
Jason Spezza · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 11:56
Matt Stajan · Slashingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
- 19:56
Matthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Marc Methot2 min
- 19:56
Marc Methot · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 3rd 12:50 — 55% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.8
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.42 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 1.78
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 17
- Hits
- 16
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 3
- Giveaways
- 7
- 7
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
