NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
Win% against xGF%32 clubs
Colorado Avalanche are near the top of both: 1st in expected goals share (5-on-5) (52.8%) and 1st in win chance vs an average team (61.6%). 14 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two move together closely (r = 0.96).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | xGF% | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Avalanche | 52.8%#1 | 61.6%#1 |
| 2 |  Golden Knights | 51.7%#2 | 55.7%#4 |
| 3 |  Lightning | 51.4%#4 | 55.9%#2 |
| 4 |  Hurricanes | 51.4%#5 | 55.8%#3 |
| 5 |  Senators | 51.4%#3 | 53.5%#7 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 51.3%#6 | 54.7%#5 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 50.9%#8 | 53.5%#6 |
| 8 |  Penguins | 50.9%#7 | 52.3%#11 |
| 9 |  Oilers | 50.7%#10 | 53.3%#8 |
| 10 |  Kings | 50.7%#11 | 50.8%#13 |
| 11 |  Capitals | 50.2%#15 | 52.5%#10 |
| 12 |  Stars | 50.2%#17 | 52.8%#9 |
| 13 |  Blue Jackets | 50.7%#9 | 50.0%#18 |
| 14 |  Devils | 50.4%#12 | 50.4%#16 |
| 15 |  Wild | 50.2%#16 | 50.9%#12 |
| 16 |  Panthers | 50.2%#14 | 50.4%#15 |
| 17 |  Blues | 50.2%#13 | 49.5%#19 |
| 18 |  Rangers | 49.5%#20 | 50.4%#14 |
| 19 |  Bruins | 49.9%#19 | 50.2%#17 |
| 20 |  Ducks | 50.2%#18 | 49.4%#21 |
| 21 |  Jets | 49.4%#21 | 49.5%#20 |
| 22 |  Canadiens | 49.4%#22 | 49.3%#22 |
| 23 |  Red Wings | 49.4%#23 | 48.5%#23 |
| 24 |  Islanders | 49.2%#24 | 48.4%#24 |
| 25 |  Predators | 49.2%#25 | 47.4%#25 |
| 26 |  Kraken | 49.1%#26 | 47.1%#26 |
| 27 |  Maple Leafs | 48.6%#27 | 45.9%#28 |
| 28 |  Flyers | 48.5%#28 | 46.0%#27 |
| 29 |  Flames | 48.4%#29 | 42.6%#30 |
| 30 |  Sharks | 48.3%#30 | 43.5%#29 |
| 31 |  Canucks | 47.9%#31 | 40.7%#31 |
| 32 |  Blackhawks | 46.6%#32 | 37.5%#32 |
What the two axes are
Expected goals share (5-on-5). The club's share of expected goals at five-on-five, from our shot model. Blocked shots are not counted.
Win chance vs an average team. Our power rating: the chance of beating a league-average club on neutral ice. It is built from team results and cannot see a trade or an injury until games are played.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →