Pirates at Cubs
PIT––
CHC–Win probability
Cubs52%
PIT 48%CHC 52%
First pitch hasn't been thrown yet — the fatigue tracker lights up once the game starts.
rest & recent workload · as of 2026-09-16
- Isaac Mattson11d rest
- Camilo Doval7d rest
- Khristian Curtis5d rest
- Luke Weaver3d rest · 7p/3d
- Mason Montgomery3d rest · 7p/3d
- Carmen Mlodzinski3d rest · 29p/3d
- Yohan Ramírez1d rest · 5p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
rest & recent workload · as of 2026-09-16
- Colin Rea7d rest
- Trent Thornton5d rest
- Caleb Thielbar3d rest · 14p/3d
- Aaron Civale3d rest · 45p/3d
- Ryan Rolison2d rest · 13p/3d
- Ryan Zeferjahn2d rest · 24p/3d
- Javier Assad2d rest · 30p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.