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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Missouri: Final Score & Recap

Final score, recap & advanced stats

ARKA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
MIZ
Missouri
Final
Memorial Stadium
1234T
ARKA007714
MIZ142601454

ARKATeam statsMIZ

198Total yards562
109Pass357
89Rush205
13First downs33
3-133rd down6-10
0Turnovers1
26:02Possession33:58
  • Q4 3:49MIZPreston Hatfield 9 Yd Run (Blake Craig Kick)1454
  • Q4 6:13ARKADavid Brewer IV 16 Yd pass from Jack Schierholz (Trey Glymph Kick)1447
  • Q4 10:00MIZMatt Zollers 5 Yd Run (Blake Craig Kick)747
  • Q3 2:31ARKAZa'Marion Webber 27 Yd Run (Trey Glymph Kick)740
  • Q2 0:00MIZBlake Craig 32 Yd Field Goal 040
  • Q2 4:01MIZCayden Lee 47 Yd pass from Austin Simmons (Blake Craig Kick)037
  • Q2 5:44MIZDonovan Olugbode 35 Yd pass from Austin Simmons (Blake Craig Kick)030
  • Q2 5:52MIZTeam Safety 023
  • Q2 12:56MIZJamal Roberts 1 Yd Run (Blake Craig Kick)021
  • Q1 4:16MIZDonovan Olugbode 14 Yd pass from Austin Simmons (Blake Craig Kick)014
  • Q1 9:38MIZShaun Terry II 25 Yd pass from Austin Simmons (Blake Craig Kick)07

How the model called it

Model line
MIZ −61.2
market MIZ −55.5
Against the number
ARKA covered
line MIZ −55.5
RecapSep 4
Austin Simmons threw four touchdowns in six possessions

The Ole Miss transfer was named Missouri's starter in March and pulled before halftime; the 40-point final still fell short of a 53.5-point opening number.

Austin Simmons threw four touchdown passes in six possessions and then watched from the sideline. The first went 25 yards to Shaun Terry II on third-and-10 at 9:38 of the first quarter; the second 14 yards to Donovan Olugbode on third-and-4 at 4:16. Missouri led 40-0 at halftime. Calum McAndrew's Aug. 31 Columbia Daily Tribune preview had the Tigers opening as a 53.5-point favorite and predicted 56-7. The margin was 40.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q2
MIZ favored ↑50%ARKA favored ↓
GridpexMIZ 100%
Closing line
MIZ −55.5
Closing total
62.5
Model line
MIZ −61.2
Actual result
ARKA 14 – 54 MIZ
DraftKings, liveMIZ −55.5total 62.5
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Missouri
11.6sper snap · faster the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
133
Points / snap
0.51

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MIZ up 33 entering the 4th quarter. Across 457 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%
MIZ went on to win
A near-lock historically
Full recap · 5 minAustin Simmons threw four touchdowns in six possessionsRead →

FAQ

What was the final score of Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Missouri?

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14, Missouri 54.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (MIZ) was correct.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

Model estimates for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: CollegeFootballData.