Northwestern State vs. South Alabama: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Northwestern State0-1

South Alabama0-2

▸

Final

Hancock Whitney Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
NORT	10	0	0	0	10
USA	24	28	28	7	87

NORTTeam statsUSA

237Total yards620

171Pass257

66Rush363

8First downs22

3-153rd down4-7

4Turnovers0

26:47Possession24:13

Q4 3:57USAJarvis Durr 4 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)10–87
Q3 0:55USAChrystyile Caldwell 30 Yd Interception Return (Davis Little Kick)10–80
Q3 2:40USAPJ Martin 4 Yd Run (Davis Little Kick)10–73
Q3 6:48USAJamaal Pritchett 10 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Davis Little Kick)10–66
Q3 14:18USAKentrel Bullock 59 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)10–59
Q2 2:04USAFluff Bothwell 5 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)10–52
Q2 9:25USADJ Thomas-Jones 4 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Laith Marjan Kick)10–45
Q2 10:15USAFluff Bothwell 7 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)10–38
Q2 13:15USAKentrel Bullock 1 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)10–31
Q1 0:00NORTMyles Kitt-Denton 75 Yd pass from JT Fayard (Reed Honshtein Kick)10–24
Q1 0:03USALaith Marjan 28 Yd Field Goal 3–24
Q1 5:07USADJ Thomas-Jones 12 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Laith Marjan Kick)3–21
Q1 7:30NORTReed Honshtein 31 Yd Field Goal 3–14
Q1 10:58USAJeremiah Webb 39 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Laith Marjan Kick)0–14
Q1 13:24USAJamaal Pritchett 62 Yd Punt Return (Laith Marjan Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

USA −36.5

Against the number

USA covered

line USA −36.5

Kickoff128 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

USA (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: USA 100%

Closing line

USA −36.5

Closing total

60.5

Model line

—

Actual result

NORT 10 – 87 USA

Northwestern State

PassJ.T. Fayard 9/23, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushZay Davis 9 CAR, 32 YDS
RecMyles Kitt-Denton 3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD

South Alabama

PassGio Lopez 15/19, 257 YDS, 4 TD
RushFluff Bothwell 7 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
RecJeremiah Webb 2 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD

31.8sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

113

Points / snap

0.86

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

USA up 70 entering the 4th quarter. Across 74 historically comparable game states (within ±7 pts and ±10 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

USA went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WTennessee vs Kent State71-0 WSMU vs Prairie View A&M69-0 WOklahoma vs Arkansas State73-0 WPortland State vs North American University91-0 WOle Miss vs Furman76-0

FAQ

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. South Alabama?

Northwestern State 10, South Alabama 87.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (USA) was correct.

NORT

USA

23%

Success rate

61%

0.04

EPA / pass

1.12

-0.24

EPA / rush

0.90

21%

Early-down success

61%

27%

Pass success

78%

19%

Rush success

53%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

23%

19%

Stuffed rush rate

18%

46%

Pass rate

32%

8.9

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.0

NORT

8.9 yards to go on 3rd down

57 scrimmage snaps

USA

7.0 yards to go on 3rd down

56 scrimmage snaps

NORT		USA
237	Total yards	620
171	Passing yards	257
66	Rushing yards	363
8	First downs	22
3-15	3rd down	4-7
0-0	4th down	0-0
10/25	Comp/Att	15/19
6.8	Yards per pass	13.5
2.1	Yards per rush	10.7
4	Turnovers	0
7-60	Penalties	7-60
26:47	Possession	24:13

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

NORTTeam statsUSA

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. South Alabama?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Northwestern State vs. South Alabama: Final Score & Recap

NORTTeam statsUSA

How the model called it

What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. South Alabama?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?