Virginia Tech vs. Miami: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
VTTeam statsMIA
- Q4 11:32VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.42–24
- Q4 11:32VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.42–24
- Q3 1:31MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.35–24
- Q3 1:31MIAMIAMI FL pass complete for a touchdown.35–23
- Q3 2:35VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.35–17
- Q3 2:35VTVIRGINIA TECH pass complete for a touchdown.35–17
- Q3 6:02MIAMIAMI FL 49 yard field goal GOOD.28–17
- Q2 2:58VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.28–14
- Q2 2:58VTVIRGINIA TECH pass complete for a touchdown.28–14
- Q2 8:30MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.21–14
- Q2 8:30MIAMIAMI FL rush for a touchdown.21–14
- Q2 13:01VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.21–7
- Q2 13:01VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.21–7
- Q1 5:12VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.14–7
- Q1 5:12VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.14–7
- Q1 7:37VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 7:37VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.6–7
- Q1 11:35MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 11:35MIAMIAMI FL pass complete for a touchdown.0–6
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- MIA lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 14% explosive on a 35% success rate
- PassLogan Thomas 25/31, 366 YDS, 2 TD
- RushTrey Edmunds 14 CAR, 74 YDS, 4 TD
- RecJoshua Stanford 7 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
- PassStephen Morris 16/29, 324 YDS, 2 TD
- RushDallas Crawford 10 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
- RecAllen Hurns 4 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsVT up 11 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,142 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 2:58VT +21%
Logan Thomas pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 32 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 5:12VT +19%
Trey Edmunds rush for 2 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 8:30MIA +19%
Dallas Crawford rush for 2 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 13:01VT +18%
Trey Edmunds rush for 4 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q4 12:14VT +13%
Trey Edmunds rush for 4 yards to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST down
- Q1 7:37VT +13%
Trey Edmunds rush for 10 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Virginia Tech vs. Miami?
Virginia Tech 42, Miami 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked MIA, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| VT | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 549 | Total yards | 352 |
| 366 | Passing yards | 324 |
| 183 | Rushing yards | 28 |
| 26 | First downs | 12 |
| 8-14 | 3rd down | 3-12 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 25/31 | Comp/Att | 16/29 |
| 11.8 | Yards per pass | 11.2 |
| 3.9 | Yards per rush | 1.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 11-71 | Penalties | 2-10 |
| 39:30 | Possession | 20:30 |
Costliest call
Q2 14:51 VT punt on 4th & 3 at VT 49. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.58 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 11:32VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.42–24
- Q4 11:32VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.42–24
- Q3 1:31MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.35–24
- Q3 1:31MIAMIAMI FL pass complete for a touchdown.35–23
- Q3 2:35VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.35–17
- Q3 2:35VTVIRGINIA TECH pass complete for a touchdown.35–17
- Q3 6:02MIAMIAMI FL 49 yard field goal GOOD.28–17
- Q2 2:58VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.28–14
- Q2 2:58VTVIRGINIA TECH pass complete for a touchdown.28–14
- Q2 8:30MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.21–14
- Q2 8:30MIAMIAMI FL rush for a touchdown.21–14
- Q2 13:01VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.21–7
- Q2 13:01VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.21–7
- Q1 5:12VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.14–7
- Q1 5:12VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.14–7
- Q1 7:37VTVIRGINIA TECH Extra point GOOD.7–7
- Q1 7:37VTVIRGINIA TECH rush for a touchdown.6–7
- Q1 11:35MIAMIAMI FL Extra point GOOD.0–7
- Q1 11:35MIAMIAMI FL pass complete for a touchdown.0–6
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (MIA Elo 1682, VT Elo 1579 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects MIA -6.5 (68% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#46 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #66 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Miami leads 27–15 · Miami has won 5 straight · 43% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →