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Louisville

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ACC · 23-9 · AdjEM +21.0, 15 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+21.015 of 364
AdjO
119.213 of 364
AdjD
98.223 of 364
AdjT
71.591 of 364

Louisville went from +8.4 (#10) on 2025-11-10 to +21.0 (#15) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +22.8 (#10) on 2026-02-16.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
56.4%20
TOV%
16.2%228
OREB%
89.4%200
FTA/FGA
33.8%218
Opp eFG%
48.0%39
Opp TOV%
15.8%162
DREB%
23.0%95
Opp FTA/FGA
32.2%112

Games23-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for Louisville, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsSouth Carolina StateW 104-45—
11-06vsJackson StateW 106-70—
11-11vsKentuckyW 96-88+16.7
11-15vsOhioW 106-81+25.5
11-21@CincinnatiW 74-64-5.1
11-24vsEastern MichiganW 87-46+18.3
11-26vsNJITW 104-47+22.6
12-03@ArkansasL 80-89-0.3
12-06vsIndianaW 87-78+9.1
12-13vsMemphisW 99-73+19.2
12-16@TennesseeL 62-83+0.7
12-20vsMontanaW 94-54+22.6
12-30@CaliforniaW 90-70+0.9
01-02@StanfordL 76-80+3.0
01-06vsDukeL 73-84+4.1
01-10vsBoston CollegeW 75-62+20.8
01-13vsVirginiaL 70-79+5.7
01-17@PittsburghW 100-59+6.1
01-24vsVirginia TechW 85-71+12.7
01-26@DukeL 52-83-7.7
01-31vsSMUW 88-74+8.4
02-04vsNotre DameW 76-65+15.3
02-07@Wake ForestW 88-80+4.1
02-09vsNC StateW 118-77+5.2
02-14@BaylorW 82-71+3.2
02-17@SMUL 85-95+1.9
02-21vsGeorgia TechW 87-70+21.4
02-23@North CarolinaL 74-77+0.4
02-28@ClemsonL 75-80+1.7
03-03vsSyracuseW 77-62+14.5
03-07@Miami (OH)—+1.9
03-11vsSMUW 62-58+9.0
03-19vsSouth FloridaW 83-79+9.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.