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Virginia

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ACC · 27-6 · AdjEM +20.9, 16 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+20.916 of 364
AdjO
117.923 of 364
AdjD
97.016 of 364
AdjT
68.8250 of 364

Virginia went from +4.6 (#50) on 2025-11-10 to +20.9 (#16) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +21.6 (#12) on 2026-03-16.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.0%67
TOV%
15.0%138
OREB%
89.6%197
FTA/FGA
32.9%240
Opp eFG%
45.5%6
Opp TOV%
14.4%251
DREB%
9.4%172
Opp FTA/FGA
33.0%127

Games27-6

“Ours” is our projected margin for Virginia, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsRiderW 87-53—
11-07vsNorth Carolina CentralW 81-62—
11-11vsHamptonW 91-53+16.5
11-15vsMarshallW 104-78+11.8
11-21vsNorthwesternW 83-78+9.4
11-23vsButlerL 73-80+12.2
11-28vsQueens UniversityW 94-69+13.0
12-03@TexasW 88-69-5.3
12-06vsDaytonW 86-73+10.1
12-09vsMaryland Eastern ShoreW 84-60+23.6
12-20vsMarylandW 80-72+18.5
12-22vsAmerican UniversityW 95-51+19.6
12-31@Virginia TechL 85-95-1.0
01-03@NC StateW 76-61-4.9
01-07vsCaliforniaW 84-60+11.2
01-10vsStanfordW 70-55+12.2
01-13@LouisvilleW 79-70-5.7
01-17@SMUW 72-68-2.0
01-24vsNorth CarolinaL 80-85+8.6
01-27@Notre DameW 100-97+6.6
01-31@Boston CollegeW 73-66+9.4
02-03vsPittsburghW 67-47+14.3
02-07vsSyracuseW 72-59+12.0
02-10@Florida StateW 61-58+7.1
02-14@Ohio StateW 70-66+1.4
02-18@Georgia TechW 94-68+11.0
02-21vsMiami (OH)—+7.8
02-24vsNC StateW 90-61+5.0
02-28@DukeL 51-77-10.8
03-03vsWake ForestW 75-70+11.6
03-07vsVirginia TechW 76-72+10.3
03-13vsMiami (OH)—+8.8
03-14@DukeL 70-74-12.4
03-20vsWright StateW 82-73+16.2
03-22vsTennesseeL 72-79+4.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.