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Mississippi State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 10-19 · AdjEM -0.7, 188 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-0.7188 of 364
AdjO
107.3160 of 364
AdjD
108.0209 of 364
AdjT
72.356 of 364

Mississippi State went from +3.4 (#78) on 2025-11-10 to -0.7 (#188) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +3.4 (#78) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.4%175
TOV%
15.3%163
OREB%
92.4%186
FTA/FGA
30.5%299
Opp eFG%
52.5%238
Opp TOV%
12.1%355
DREB%
18.9%123
Opp FTA/FGA
31.2%89

Games10-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Mississippi State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-05vsNorth AlabamaW 86-62—
11-10@Iowa StateL 80-96—
11-15vsSE LouisianaW 75-68+18.1
11-20@Kansas StateL 77-98-9.1
11-21vsNew MexicoL 78-80+9.6
11-24vsNew OrleansW 81-78+7.2
11-28vsSMUL 81-87+2.2
12-03@Georgia TechW 85-73-6.8
12-07vsSan FranciscoL 62-65+2.8
12-13@UtahW 82-74-8.0
12-16vsLong Island UniversityW 87-83+8.0
12-20vsMemphisW 71-66+6.3
01-03@TexasW 101-98-10.5
01-10@KentuckyL 68-92-14.0
01-13vsAlabamaL 82-97-4.6
01-17vsOle MissL 67-68+1.8
01-21@Texas A&ML 68-88-12.1
01-24vsVanderbiltL 56-88-10.5
01-28@LSUW 80-66-13.0
01-31@MissouriL 79-84-10.5
02-07vsArkansasL 68-88-6.5
02-11vsTennesseeL 64-73-8.7
02-14vsMississippi State—+3.9
02-18vsAuburnW 91-85-5.8
02-21@South CarolinaL 89-97-5.5
02-25@AlabamaL 75-100-16.5
02-28vsMissouriL 64-88-1.8
03-03@FloridaL 74-108-23.1
03-07vsGeorgiaL 96-102-8.1
03-11@AuburnL 61-79-13.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.