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UMBC

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Am. East · 21-9 · AdjEM +1.8, 147 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+1.8147 of 364
AdjO
108.5135 of 364
AdjD
106.7177 of 364
AdjT
69.2220 of 364

UMBC went from +2.0 (#112) on 2025-11-10 to +1.8 (#146) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +2.0 (#112) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.9%71
TOV%
13.2%28
OREB%
55.2%344
FTA/FGA
34.0%208
Opp eFG%
49.6%86
Opp TOV%
14.1%278
DREB%
45.6%12
Opp FTA/FGA
26.1%13

Games21-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for UMBC, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-08@DaytonL 71-77—
11-11@Morgan StateW 81-79-13.9
11-16vsWagnerW 71-70+16.2
11-19@George WashingtonL 52-89-14.4
11-24vsNotre Dame—+5.1
11-29vsDelaware StateW 71-57+18.8
12-03@GeorgetownL 81-90-10.4
12-06@BucknellW 73-66-1.0
12-09vsBuffaloL 79-83+3.8
12-12vsArmyL 60-63+13.8
12-21@South FloridaL 69-94-15.1
12-29@Coppin StateW 93-59+8.0
01-08vsMaineW 69-62+10.5
01-10vsNew HampshireW 75-74+10.8
01-15@BryantL 74-79+2.0
01-19@BinghamtonW 78-60+4.2
01-22vsNJITW 87-74+10.6
01-24vsUMass LowellW 79-56+7.7
01-29@VermontL 55-64-5.8
01-31@UAlbanyW 68-65+0.4
02-05vsBinghamtonW 79-62+14.7
02-12@MaineW 78-62+1.9
02-14@New HampshireW 85-63+1.4
02-19vsVermontW 75-62+3.1
02-21vsUAlbanyW 66-62+10.4
02-26vsBryantW 70-58+15.0
02-28@UMass LowellW 84-60+1.8
03-03@NJITW 91-52+4.1
03-07vsNew HampshireW 84-69+13.8
03-14vsVermontW 74-59+5.3
03-17@HowardL 83-86-3.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.