#7Will Levis

QB·Kentucky·20216.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Will Levis is a Dual-Threat QB for Kentucky. Will's 2021 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 435 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Will Levis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Passing

233/353 Comp/Att2826 Pass yards24 Pass TD13 INT66.0% Comp %

Rushing

376 Rush yards9 Rush TD107 Carries3.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs QB peers

Efficiency28
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency79
Clutch72

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.99 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs New Mexico State (SP+ -24).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsUL Monroe	W45-10	-20.3	18/26	367	4	1	87.9	-6	0	0.75
2	vsMissouri	W35-28	3.1	10/18	179	1	1	75.0	25	1	0.52
3	vsChattanooga	W28-23	—	23/35	254	2	2	46.4	18	0	0.42
4	@South Carolina	W16-10	3.9	15/22	102	0	1	77.9	30	0	0.10
5	vsFlorida	W20-13	11.0	7/17	87	1	1	24.0	21	0	0.04
6	vsLSU	W42-21	4.1	14/17	145	3	0	91.7	75	2	0.57
7	@Georgia	L13-30	32.0	32/42	192	2	0	85.9	12	0	0.25
9	@Mississippi State	L17-31	10.5	17/28	150	1	3	41.4	9	0	0.09
10	vsTennessee	L42-45	17.5	31/49	372	3	1	72.5	47	2	0.23
11	@Vanderbilt	W34-17	-19.4	14/22	177	2	1	85.8	32	0	0.40
12	vsNew Mexico State	W56-16	-24.2	21/31	419	4	1	90.9	11	0	0.99
13	@Louisville	W52-21	7.8	14/18	149	0	0	99.2	113	4	0.80
1	vsIowa	W20-17	11.4	17/28	233	1	1	61.9	-11	0	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.0%

Passing plays

96.1%

Rushing plays

18.1%

Standard downs

46.1%

Passing downs

71.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.34
Passing downs: 0.49
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.31 / 0.77

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.