#7Taysom Hill

QB·BYU·20131.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Taysom Hill is a Dual-Threat QB for BYU. Taysom's 2013 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 604 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Taysom Hill's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing

236/438 Comp/Att2938 Pass yards19 Pass TD14 INT53.9% Comp %

Rushing

1344 Rush yards10 Rush TD246 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Punting

2 Punts48 Punt yards24.0 Yards/punt35 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs QB peers

Efficiency10
Volume100
Dual-Threat76
Consistency78
Clutch76

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)10th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.48 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Georgia Tech (SP+ 11).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Virginia	L16-19	-5.2	13/40	175	1	1	26.7	42	1	0.12
2	vsTexas	W40-21	10.5	9/26	129	0	1	93.8	259	3	0.23
4	vsUtah	L13-20	11.8	18/48	260	0	1	38.7	99	0	0.03
5	vsMiddle Tennessee	W37-10	-11.8	14/19	177	0	1	91.0	165	2	0.44
6	@Utah State	W31-14	4.2	17/31	278	3	1	53.7	14	0	0.14
7	vsGeorgia Tech	W38-20	11.4	19/27	244	1	0	80.1	65	1	0.48
8	@Houston	W47-46	4.9	29/44	417	4	3	65.3	128	0	0.35
9	vsBoise State	W37-20	11.3	27/41	339	3	0	88.1	69	1	0.17
11	@Wisconsin	L17-27	22.4	19/41	207	2	1	27.5	53	0	0.01
12	vsIdaho State	W59-13	—	11/19	153	2	3	68.7	62	0	0.08
13	@Notre Dame	L13-23	13.2	21/36	168	1	1	46.3	101	0	0.20
14	@Nevada	W28-23	-16.8	14/18	98	2	0	81.4	154	1	0.04
1	vsWashington	L16-31	20.5	25/48	293	0	1	40.7	133	1	0.31

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

58.0%

Passing plays

95.8%

Rushing plays

33.1%

Standard downs

53.9%

Passing downs

66.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.13
Passing downs: 0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.