#12Tad Hudson

QB·Coastal Carolina·2025

Tad Hudson is a Dual-Threat QB for Coastal Carolina. Tad's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 233 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tad Hudson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

139/254 Comp/Att1253 Pass yards6 Pass TD7 INT54.7% Comp %

Rushing

15 Rush yards2 Rush TD45 Carries0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.18 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.62 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Charleston Southern.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Virginia	L7-48	11.1	0/1	0	0	0	0.1	—	—	-0.97
2	vsCharleston Southern	W13-0	—	3/5	37	0	0	74.4	19	1	0.62
3	vsEast Carolina	L0-38	8.0	19/39	172	0	2	13.5	-15	0	-0.05
4	@South Alabama	W38-20	-12.7	13/25	112	2	0	45.1	18	1	0.19
6	@Old Dominion	L7-47	5.9	19/30	108	1	1	39.6	-17	0	0.12
7	vsUL Monroe	W23-8	-21.6	2/3	18	0	0	32.2	20	0	0.37
12	@Georgia Southern	L40-45	-9.4	15/28	173	0	1	21.3	10	0	0.23
13	@South Carolina	L7-51	5.9	27/36	174	0	0	65.9	16	0	0.12
14	vsJames Madison	L10-59	12.3	16/38	148	1	1	34.4	-13	0	-0.06
20	vsLouisiana Tech	L14-23	-1.3	25/49	311	2	2	27.8	-23	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

43.1%

Passing plays

76.4%

Rushing plays

9.0%

Standard downs

33.6%

Passing downs

59.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.05
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.10 / 0.48

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).