#18Michael Alaimo

QB·Kent State·2023

Michael Alaimo is a Clutch Passer for Kent State. Michael's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 166 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Michael Alaimo's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

79/144 Comp/Att932 Pass yards2 Pass TD4 INT54.9% Comp %

Rushing

-48 Rush yards1 Rush TD57 Carries-0.8 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts35 Punt yards35.0 Yards/punt35 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat1
Consistency1
Clutch65

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency1th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.54 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.88 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UCF (SP+ 3).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@UCF	L6-56	3.4	12/31	145	0	1	41.5	22	0	0.88
2	@Arkansas	L6-28	3.5	11/17	174	0	1	10.5	-46	0	-0.11
3	vsCentral Connecticut	W38-10	—	12/16	172	1	1	47.3	18	1	0.65
4	@Fresno State	L10-53	2.5	8/15	102	0	0	32.8	3	0	0.15
5	vsMiami (OH)	L3-23	2.8	18/30	170	0	0	15.6	-31	0	-0.09
6	@Ohio	L17-42	-1.6	9/13	107	1	1	46.5	-18	0	0.15
7	@Eastern Michigan	L14-28	-12.3	2/8	11	0	0	3.5	11	0	-0.45
8	vsBuffalo	L6-24	-15.2	7/14	51	0	0	5.6	-7	0	-0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

36.4%

Passing plays

70.6%

Rushing plays

10.6%

Standard downs

30.1%

Passing downs

47.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.04
Passing downs: 0.17
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.14 / -0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).