#10LaJohntay Wester

WR·Florida Atlantic·2023

LaJohntay Wester is a Slot Specialist WR for Florida Atlantic. LaJohntay's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 129 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So LaJohntay Wester's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

108 Receptions1168 Rec yards8 Rec TD10.8 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns30 KR yards0 KR TD14 Punt returns278 PR yards1 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume55
Explosiveness25
Consistency74
Pass-Down72

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.38 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs UAB (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Javion Posey	Florida Atlantic	2020	53	0.450	1.4	23.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsMonmouth	W42-20	—	6	55	9.2	1	27	0.38
2	vsOhio	L10-17	-1.6	12	101	8.4	0	21	0.53
3	@Clemson	L14-48	10.5	12	108	9.0	0	19	0.48
4	@Illinois	L17-23	-2.5	13	137	10.5	1	25	0.61
6	vsTulsa	W20-17	-13.7	9	98	10.9	0	40	0.38
7	@South Florida	W56-14	-6.6	10	123	12.3	1	30	0.93
8	vsUTSA	L10-36	5.4	4	14	3.5	0	8	-0.35
9	@Charlotte	W38-16	-21.4	10	149	14.9	2	30	1.18
10	@UAB	L42-45	-14.7	11	219	19.9	3	76	1.38
11	vsEast Carolina	L7-22	-12.8	6	38	6.3	0	13	0.33
12	vsTulane	L8-24	2.8	11	86	7.8	0	15	0.27
13	@Rice	L21-24	-10.2	4	40	10.0	0	15	0.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.4%

Passing plays

33.7%

Rushing plays

2.4%

Standard downs

15.5%

Passing downs

26.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.54
Passing downs: 0.67
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.62 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).