#13Jordan Travis

QB·Florida State·2023 2022 20216.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jordan Travis is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Florida State. Jordan's 2023 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 393 plays — a developing rate for the QB. Jordan's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jordan Travis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

207/324 Comp/Att2745 Pass yards20 Pass TD2 INT63.9% Comp %

Rushing

176 Rush yards7 Rush TD73 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency30
Volume100
Dual-Threat96
Consistency87
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Career trajectory:↑ Rising

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs LSU (SP+ 19).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsLSU	W45-24	19.1	23/31	342	4	1	93.8	38	1	0.80
2	vsSouthern Miss	W66-13	-14.4	15/29	175	2	0	69.3	20	0	0.19
3	@Boston College	W31-29	-5.9	15/24	212	2	0	87.3	38	0	0.63
4	@Clemson	W31-24	10.5	21/37	289	2	0	87.2	-2	1	0.41
6	vsVirginia Tech	W39-17	5.8	18/24	170	2	0	73.8	25	0	0.36
7	vsSyracuse	W41-3	-4.4	23/37	284	1	0	71.4	-5	2	0.24
8	vsDuke	W38-20	9.4	27/36	268	2	1	82.6	62	1	0.33
9	@Wake Forest	W41-16	-7.9	22/35	359	3	0	82.4	29	1	0.59
10	@Pittsburgh	W24-7	-7.3	22/36	360	1	0	80.5	-15	1	0.44
11	vsMiami	W27-20	9.6	19/31	265	1	0	66.4	-30	0	0.28
12	vsNorth Alabama	W58-13	—	2/4	21	0	0	22.5	16	0	0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

54.9%

Passing plays

89.5%

Rushing plays

17.6%

Standard downs

48.4%

Passing downs

69.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.65
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.42 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 — 2023 · 34 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2021	Florida State	10.1	0.476	—	328.3
2022	Florida State	11.6	0.600	+0.12	269.6
2023	Florida State	6.9	0.517	-0.08	217.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.