#13Feleipe Franks

QB·Arkansas·20205.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Feleipe Franks is a Volume Passer for Arkansas. Feleipe's 2020 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 324 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Feleipe Franks's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Passing

162/237 Comp/Att2091 Pass yards17 Pass TD4 INT68.4% Comp %

Rushing

204 Rush yards1 Rush TD105 Carries1.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Efficiency28
Volume100
Dual-Threat14
Consistency80
Clutch37

Player type

Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.16 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.70 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Florida (SP+ 20).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
4	vsGeorgia	L10-37	19.1	19/36	200	1	2	13	0	0.05
5	@Mississippi State	W21-14	-1.4	20/28	212	2	0	8	0	0.34
6	@Auburn	L28-30	12.6	21/29	302	4	0	28	0	0.51
7	vsOle Miss	W33-21	4.8	21/34	244	1	1	16	0	0.06
9	@Texas A&M	L31-42	16.2	23/31	239	3	0	91	0	0.36
10	vsTennessee	W24-13	0.9	18/24	215	3	0	18	0	0.29
11	@Florida	L35-63	19.8	15/19	250	2	0	12	0	0.70
12	vsLSU	L24-27	6.0	17/26	339	1	1	43	1	0.52
15	vsAlabama	L3-52	28.3	8/10	90	0	0	-25	0	0.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

57.5%

Passing plays

94.6%

Rushing plays

24.7%

Standard downs

53.0%

Passing downs

68.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.32
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.41 / -0.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 · 9 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.