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DJ Scott
DJ Scott

#7DJ Scott

RB·North Dakota State·2025

DJ Scott is a Committee Back for North Dakota State. DJ's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 87 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So DJ Scott's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
502 Rush yards6 Rush TD95 Carries5.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
4 Receptions44 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume36
  • Explosiveness46
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving38
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.38 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Southern Illinois.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.560−0.56Wk 1 vs The Citadel: +0.38 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tennessee State: -0.07 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Southeast Missouri State: +0.20 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs South Dakota: +0.08 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Illinois State: +0.35 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Southern Illinois: +0.56 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Indiana State: +0.44 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs South Dakota State: -0.06 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Youngstown State: -0.25 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs North Dakota: -0.46 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Northern Iowa: -0.19 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs St. Thomas (MN): +0.49 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Illinois State: -0.30 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@The CitadelW38-0—10434.3111900.38
2@Tennessee StateW59-3—8293.61———-0.07
3vsSoutheast Missouri StateW41-14—34414.701300.20
5vsSouth DakotaW51-13—13503.80———0.08
6@Illinois StateW33-16—5214.21———0.35
7vsSouthern IllinoisW45-17—6427.011500.56
8@Indiana StateW38-7—9788.71———0.44
9@South Dakota StateW38-7—11373.40———-0.06
10vsYoungstown StateW38-30—7253.61———-0.25
11@North DakotaW15-10—221.00———-0.46
12vsNorthern IowaW48-16—9151.701170-0.19
13vsSt. Thomas (MN)W62-7—810112.60———0.49
15vsIllinois StateL28-29—4153.80———-0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.6%
Passing plays
2.6%
Rushing plays
18.6%
Standard downs
15.5%
Passing downs
4.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.16
Passing downs
-0.12
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.14 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.