#2Ben Bryant

QB·Northwestern·2023

Ben Bryant is a Dual-Threat QB for Northwestern. Ben's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 295 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ben Bryant's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

173/277 Comp/Att1807 Pass yards13 Pass TD6 INT62.5% Comp %

Rushing

-33 Rush yards4 Rush TD60 Carries-0.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat84
Consistency65
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.16 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.73 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Minnesota (SP+ 0).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Rutgers	L7-24	3.5	20/36	169	0	2	17.2	-15	0	0.02
2	vsUTEP	W38-7	-16.2	11/17	116	1	0	41.3	-1	1	0.32
3	@Duke	L14-38	9.4	17/34	123	1	1	24.3	-7	0	-0.19
4	vsMinnesota	W37-34	0.4	33/49	396	4	0	67.5	4	0	0.73
5	vsPenn State	L13-41	23.5	14/25	122	0	0	33.0	-5	1	0.01
11	@Wisconsin	W24-10	9.4	18/26	195	2	0	94.1	-6	1	0.52
12	vsPurdue	W23-15	-7.3	13/24	230	1	1	39.5	-25	0	0.13
13	@Illinois	W45-43	-2.5	24/32	234	2	2	76.0	15	1	0.50
20	vsUtah	W14-7	8.5	23/34	222	2	0	74.5	7	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.3%

Passing plays

86.5%

Rushing plays

13.3%

Standard downs

44.6%

Passing downs

70.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.04
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.27 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).