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Andrew McElroy
Andrew McElroy

#19Andrew McElroy

WR·Northern Illinois·2024

Andrew McElroy is a Slot Specialist WR for Northern Illinois.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Andrew McElroy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
26 Receptions264 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume10
  • Explosiveness21
  • Consistency82
  • Pass-Down14
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.00 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Ball State (SP+ -20).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.000−2.00Wk 1 vs Western Illinois: +1.46 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Notre Dame: -0.55 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Buffalo: +1.55 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs NC State: +1.63 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Massachusetts: +1.51 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Bowling Green: +1.14 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Toledo: +0.88 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Ball State: +2.00 EPA/play9Wk 12 vs Akron: +0.61 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Miami (OH): +0.74 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Central Michigan: +0.88 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsWestern IllinoisW54-15—11616.00161.46
2@Notre DameW16-1423.9122.002-0.55
4vsBuffaloL20-23-4.033110.30151.55
5@NC StateL17-243.935819.30421.63
6vsMassachusettsW34-20-21.9155.0051.51
7@Bowling GreenW17-7-1.85479.40161.14
8vsToledoL6-13-2.5166.0060.88
9@Ball StateL23-25-19.811010.00102.00
12vsAkronW29-16-17.9199.0090.61
13@Miami (OH)L9-201.35387.6090.74
14vsCentral MichiganW24-16-15.822110.50140.88
20vsFresno StateW28-20-3.822110.5015—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
3.4%
Passing plays
8.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
2.8%
Passing downs
4.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.14
Passing downs
0.92
Pass / Rush EPA
1.03 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.