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Amari Daniels

#5Amari Daniels

Amari Daniels is a Explosive Back for Texas A&M. Amari's 2025 season produced 8.0 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Amari Daniels's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
216 Rush yards1 Rush TD41 Carries5.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
2 Receptions21 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency48
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness46
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving19
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)48th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.50 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.05 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Samford.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.0501.05Wk 1 vs UTSA: -0.01 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Utah State: +0.02 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Notre Dame: -0.02 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Auburn: -0.29 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Mississippi State: -0.21 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Florida: -0.24 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Arkansas: +0.54 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs LSU: +0.23 EPA/play9Wk 13 vs Samford: +1.05 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsUTSAW42-243.7393.00-0.01
2vsUtah StateW44-22-3.16183.000.02
3@Notre DameW41-4024.4144.00-0.02
5vsAuburnW16-1011.612423.50-0.29
6vsMississippi StateW31-94.1351.70-0.21
7vsFloridaW34-173.5252.50-0.24
8@ArkansasW45-425.1144.0022100.54
9@LSUW49-2510.34235.800.23
13vsSamfordW48-0910611.811.05
20vsMiamiL3-1020.7

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.7%
Passing plays
0.7%
Rushing plays
11.1%
Standard downs
7.7%
Passing downs
4.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.32
Passing downs
-0.22
Pass / Rush EPA
0.88 / 0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.