Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars
TV KDFW 4, Prime Video·American Airlines Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Kraken
to win
58%
Stars
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.476vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL-.088vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL-.072vs.109GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.724vs.3905v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DALDAL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Stars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · DAL Glen Gulutzan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
V. Dunn33
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).