Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, SCRIPPS·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Golden Knights
to win
53%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.050vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK1.03vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
- Back-to-backfavors VGKVGK played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · UTA André Tourigny
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).