Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Wild
to win
52%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.511vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN.010vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.090vs.114GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupseven.331vs.3305v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 23rd2.87
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 15th3.04
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 5th24.7%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 15th79.9%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 1st54.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).