St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken
TV STLNHL, BN+·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Blues
to win
53%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.503vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL.049vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.058vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.114vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · SEA Lane Lambert
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).