Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
34%Flames
to win
66%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.481vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR-.127vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY.016vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR-.091vs.9465v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5432nd
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.1221st
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 16.2%31st
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 80.4%12th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 49.3%21st
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).