Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
37%Blue Jackets
to win
63%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.496vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.058vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.035vs.100GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors COL.169vs.7775v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6055% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6045% to start214 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CBJ Rick Bowness · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0018th
- Goals for / game
- 1st3.63
- 3.0616th
- Goals against / game
- 1st2.40
- 18.9%22nd
- Power play
- 27th17.1%
- 76.0%28th
- Penalty kill
- 1st84.6%
- 50.6%13th
- Faceoffs
- 8th51.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).