Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils
TV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Stars
to win
51%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs-.001GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD.525vs.6975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.339th
- Goals for / game
- 27th2.76
- 2.712nd
- Goals against / game
- 18th3.09
- 28.6%2nd
- Power play
- 13th22.0%
- 80.3%13th
- Penalty kill
- 17th79.3%
- 51.6%7th
- Faceoffs
- 14th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).