Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CHSN, SN+·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Flames
to win
49%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CGY.481vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CGY-.127vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY.016vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CGY-.091vs-.6025v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).