Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins
TV CARNHL, HHN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Hurricanes
to win
48%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 3.1–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.096vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
S. Aho80
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).