Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers
TV ESPN, SN+·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Blackhawks
to win
62%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NYR.463vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR-.223vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.081vs.114GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NYR-.612vs.3305v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · NYR Mike Sullivan
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).