Ducks at Wild — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Ducks at Wild

Anaheim Ducks(0-0-0)

Minnesota Wild(0-0-0)

Fri, Dec 18, 8:00 PM ESTTV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

44%

Ducks

to win

56%

Wild

Expected goals: 3.0–3.3
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
.486vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN
.009vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA
-.049vs-.090GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MIN
-.041vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MIN
MIN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Ducks

Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/60
49% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/60
32% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/60
18% to start151 career GP

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · MIN John Hynes

Leaders

vs

C. Gauthier
69
Points
K. Kaprizov
89
C. Gauthier
41
Goals
K. Kaprizov
45
J. LaCombe
48
Assists
Q. Hughes
69

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2313th
Goals for / game: 10th3.27; 3.5129th
Goals against / game: 4th2.87; 18.6%23rd
Power play: 3rd25.2%; 76.4%27th
Penalty kill: 16th79.8%; 48.0%25th
Faceoffs: 30th46.6%

Season series

first meeting

Dec 1@
Dec 18@this game
Jan 5@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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