Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins
TV TNT, truTV·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Avalanche
to win
47%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.096vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.337vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.631st
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.401st
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 17.1%27th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 84.6%1st
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 51.2%8th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).